Photograph per Wikipedia Commons.
Scottie Scheffler (+510)
Scheffler is the tournament favorite, despite a slow start to the year by his standards. I emphasize “by his standards,” because despite his play dropping in comparison to 2025, he still leads the tour in strokes gained per round (+2.68).
However, he has finished outside of the top 10 in his last three tournaments. With two wins in the last four years, and no finishes outside the top ten in that span, Scottie’s game sets up perfectly for Augusta National. Though his game sets up pretty well for just about everywhere. The tournament favorite is listed right where he should be and it’s hard to imagine he won’t be in the mix on Sunday afternoon.
Jon Rahm (+910)
Rahm’s incredible form this year has flown under the radar for many fans because this performance has come on LIV. Don’t get it mixed up, this guy is absolutely striping it. In five LIV events this year Rahm has yet to finish outside the top five, with three second place finishes to go along with a victory. There are no holes in his game right now as he leads LIV in both total strokes gained (+2.69) and strokes gained tee-to-green (+2.03).
Rahm has a strong course history here, with five top ten finishes including a victory. However, he has yet to crack the top five in a Major Championship since the 2023 Open Championship. Can this be the tournament he breaks out of that slump?
Bryson DeChambeau (+1050)
After a disappointing final round performance in the final grouping with McIlroy last year, Bryson is looking to redeem himself this year. With back to back wins in his last two LIV starts, there is not a hotter player in the field.
Over the last two years Bryson has seemed to always find himself in the mix in these Major Tournaments, so it would surprise me if he doesn’t have something to say about this tournament come Sunday.
Rory McIlroy (+1175)
Rory rounds out the four players viewed as serious contenders by the oddsmakers. However, a back injury has derailed a promising start to the 2026 season for him. After a quick turnaround for The Players following a back injury that caused McIlroy to withdraw from the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the defending champion has had nearly a month off to recover. I expect the back to be fully healthy, but there may be a little rust for McIlroy. Despite all this, McIlroy is leading the PGA tour in strokes gained tee-to-green (+2.57).
With a game that is tailor-made for Augusta National and the weight of the career grand slam off his shoulders, McIlroy has all the tools to go back to back.
